Month: September 2024

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BREXIT

The elephant in the room, people claim failure or “too early to say” regarding its success/failure.

So I thought I would try and do an analysis of the reasons people voted for it.

Firstly migration – driven by latent racism. The small boats basically started with Brexit and migration has reached record highs. So for those who voted for Brexit for that reason – total abject failure.

Secondly, take back control of our borders – again a total failure as above.

Thirdly, take back control. This was always an interesting one! Did the EU really dictate policy to the UK. From what I have seen, it appears that the UK had amasive impact on all EU legislation. I accept that there may be a democratic element regarding the ability to contact ones own MP. However MP’s like Dorries, Johnson and Farage have blown that one away. The return of control was seized on with ridiculous zeal by Tory ministers to pursue their own agendas. We live in an economically globalised world – as Labour are finding with Thames Water. Take back control is no longer easy, not even with a drastically failing privatised company.

Everything else seems to be negative – Erasmus, student exchanges, trade, science, status.

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THE SMALL BOATS CRISIS

Having been a long standing debacle for the last Government it is time for this government to act.

Firstly though we need to consider why so many are willing to risk their lives to come here. Most are not from former outposts of our tarnished empire. Latest reports seem to suggest that our lax security for jobs could be an attraction. Is it time to introduce identity cards? Most of Europe has them, no card, no job? There also needs to be a legal way for legitimate claimants of asylum to do so.

Both actions will be greeted with horror by the right wing, but both seem sensible to me. An ID card could have NHS, Nat.Ins. details, DVLA data. There would need to be strict rules to avoid fraud – but they manage in other countries? Identity theft is a major problem so maybe an element of fingerprint or facial recognion is necessary. I am sure there are many other arguments for and against – time we had them!

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WEATHER AND STATISTICS

A quiery – what does a prediction of 20% rainfall actually mean? 20% of what. My belief is that they should stick to very likely, likely, possible, unlikely. Then they could add a percentage to which they believe the prediction to be likely. E.g. We are 50% sure that rain is likely could then be interpreted as – we have not got a fucking clue so take a brolly! Things like thunderstorms would need clarification – a 20% chance would mean a 1 in 5 chance – that is meteorology, thunderstorms are limited in both location and duration.

But I revert to – what the fuck does does 40% likelyhood mean – possible or just – we have no fucking clue!

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NEWS

Well the news is dominated by Israel, Germany, Brazil.

The Labour Government has at last/least shown some bals in banning arms exports to Israel in the face of U.S. opposition. Well done.

Germany has had state lections in the former East Germany swing to the right. No real surprise there – especially as the German economy is tanking a bit!

Brazil has banned Twitter! Well done but reports of rainforest clearances and murder of indigenous rights workers are of concern.

Meanwhile at home – the race to elect the leader of a party and lead it to oblivion continues. I would say hotting up, but as they are all guilty as charged, as was revealed at the last election there is nothing to report! The candidates firstly have to appeal to the remaining Conservative M.P.s which is difficult. The following table is interesting

May 2023 PCPN = 3581SurvivedN = 951
Northern Research Group39 (11%)5 (5.3%)
Blue Collar Conservatism155 (43%)33 (35%)
Onward Levelling Up Taskforce37 (10%)11 (12%)
IEA Free Market Forum58 (16%)11 (12%)
Conservatives for Canzuk30 (8.4%)6 (6.3%)
European Research Group107 (30%)24 (25%)
Common Sense Group30 (8.4%)8 (8.4%)
Conservative Environment Network102 (28%)26 (27%)
Bright Blue139 (39%)37 (39%)
Tory Reform Group13 (3.6%)6 (6.3%)
0.7% Aid rebels22 (6.1%)10 (11%)
Estimated economic left-right position(min, max)76.2(60.0, 94.0)76.4(64.0, 92.0)
Unknown50
8

80% of MP’s are also guilty by association with the last lot of charlatons. The MP’sidentifying by being members of the above groups has diminished. Despite 83 ERG group members having lost their seats the candidates all seem to pander to the tunes of the ERG and other right wing nutters! There is a reason, they are taking a calculated risk that they will get through the MP’s vote and then be elected by the facist and racist party membership. This may seem rather harsh but the reality is that this is what they are deep down. They will pretend to be patriots and respect others, but they wish for a return to the past with a white, nominally Christian society where patriarchy rules.

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SUNDAY WAFFLE

Double standards – I am very sad at the deaths of 6 hostages held by Hamas. However the outpouring of grief from around the world upto, and including, the POTAS id disproportionate. 40000 Palestinians have died, perhaps at least 25% children and the world remains, if not silent, but only mumbling. Every life should be reveered and its loss mourned.

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