From my perspective it seems that the virus swells up in some areas, ignoring others, but then sweeps back. North Somerset had been relatively low since I started watching the stats over a year ago, then suddenly it was amongst the highest, and is now declining. Cities in the north seem to be having the same pattern. There is probably a pattern with vaccination and school aged children, but nothing seems to explain properly. Lots of correlation tests needed? Cornwall was the same, very low then wam-bam partially due to holiday makers and festivals.
Oh well – I get jabbed again on Monday – it seems the government got a lucky chance card at Covid monopoly by delaying the second jab (which may have increased resilience to the virus). Covid seems to be spreading across Europe – even in countries with high vaccination rates than ourselves. And certainly in Eastern Europe. None of it adds up properly – well statistically and in an ordered mathematical manner.