PANTS ON FIRE!

Trump announces “Effective immediately, there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the war between Russia and Ukraine. Both parties have agreed, Do not break it”. President Zelenski said it was the first he had heard of it, and then it was immediately broken by Russia causing power outages in at least 3 states. So the POTUS is lying yet again, but for what purpose? Maybe his bromaance with Vlady babe goes deeper -ugh!

The Lancet has published a list of the 17 main threats to humanity – and No.1 is …. climate change, with a stunning headline that “Humans face extinction by 2100 if global leaders do not act NOW.: If that figure represents even a 0.1% chance of happening, we should act now, a little loss of comfort would better than the life my grandchildren and great grandclidren may have to endure. We are already seeing government ministers warning about food shortages in the UK due to weather conditions. Worldwidee the conditions could be horrendous and the migration issue, rather than being an irritant could become a major concern – especially if aid from rich countries is severely curtailed. The band plays on as the Titanic sinks below the waves.

BYELECTION RESULT

So Polanski came second, a respectable result but he will be gutted that his party let him down. I have come to appreciate party discipline – he was basically torpedoed by the very left wing who voted for the Zionism = racism motion at the party conference. Areturn to the environment is essential for a Green Party that has made inroads since the general election. If party members want to be in a very left wing party, they should fuck off and join one, I might even vote for them in a proportional representation situation! It was good however to see that the two R parties (repugnant and repulsive) were in 4th and 6th places, and the nasty party 3rd all with less than 10% of the vote.. Labour and Greens got about 80% of the vote.

I do not believe the figures for autism and ADHD which have risen from 1 in 7 to 1 in 4 in the last 30 years. Besides the fraudulent claiming of welfare, is it just an excuse for underachievement in the parents eyes of their children? I have a family member who is autistic and there is no doubt that he needs 100% care, but I also taught for 35years and only in the last 4 did I came across ‘at risk -suicide, do not let go to the toilet by themselves’ warnings. there have always been children with ‘special needs’, but why the explosion of claims. Middle class parents will always seek advantages for their children, and if they cannot pay the extra for private education, they will manipulate the system – about 20 years ago my very middle class ‘good’ school received over 100 requests from parents for their offspring to have extra time in public exams (GCSE’s), most were refused and it was unusual for the remainder to actually use the extra time because they needed it, Also potential employers should be told if students needed extra time. This is not to enable them to discriminate – many special needs students would make exemplary employees, but maybe not in superacademic fields (I admit to being uncertain about the last comment). Those who actually need it should be swiftly identified and given help, but a graph in the Guardian showed around 60% with a common mental health condition and ADHD and autism.

If this is true society must be totally fucked up. Are we getting better at diagnosing problems, becoming more precious about our children or is there a real problem associated with diet, air quality, media use, climate change? The world also seems to be ever unsafer, quicker and less benign than it ever was.

Weather – the UK recorded a record 40 days when temperatures were above 30C, and 1354 wildfires, but the tories and the 2R’s do not give a shit about our children ad grandchildren and future generations – its all about profit! And the MoD have objected to 4 wind farms on the grounds it affects radar, really! Perhaps we should have more wind farms on the coast to disrupt incoming drones and their radar?

HOUSING

So the nasty party want to cut inheritance tax (help for the rich but not the economy, only 6% pay inheritance tax but it raises £6bn), stamp duty (help for the house builders) and no mansion tax for the rich; all paid for by cutting welfare. First off, lets look at making housing cheaper – it aint goin’ happen. House prices went up as more women entered the workplace, and families could therefore afford a bigger mortgage – and the house builders and their shareholders and the estate agents and banks all got much richer. House prices will not fall, negative equity is bad for the economy as a whole, So none of this is feasible, or going to happen. The so called mansion tax should be replaced by a newer version of council tax before the nasty party can even sniff a place in a right wing coalition (the best they can hope for).

Raising the minimum wage and income tax thresholds, and introducing higher ones would encourage more more people into work – why should the owner of a betting company pay themselves £350m and then complain about tax, whilst a nurse or even a doctor gets so much less than this. Tax companies on UK earnings as a straight, no cop outs or tax dodges, percentage. Even 10% would be a gain. let the rapacious bastards move to enclaves in Abu Dhabi or Dubai – from where they broadcast jingoistic nonsense and patriotic bollox.

jaguar release a new design of electric car – but do not understand the concept of an EV. Maybe it is me that is a fool; believing that EV’s are environmentally better I ignored the thought that many people believe they need a car that will break the speed limit in most countries (especially urban area). At £120k it is not cheap, is to wide and too long to fit into a UK standard parking space – but the rich fuckers who buy them will not care, or be concerned that their vehicle will act as a block for many small town roads – should small villages and towns, e.g. Fowey ban them?

A personal gripe – two people opposite my house park their cars on the road opposite my drive or inconveniently. I can appreciate the hassle of getting up to move a car to allow another from the driveway; ; but these two cars are there all week and only used at weekends, they coud easily park them in their drives, I have thought of saying something, but as our neighbourhood is not known for friendliness, I have defered, just waiting for karma and a lorry to scrape the sides of each on, and not stop!

BORED

with the party conferences. Inevitably they talk to their support base and only Labour have the power to do anything meaningful. Tories promise to cut taxes, build a dome over the UK and sunsidise walking sticks for the elderly, the greens have talked bollox that no one cares about, Reform and Regress parties had their conferences a while ago but I cannot remember anything memorable, and have the LibDems folded without trace. Badenoch has decided to ignore the polls and pretend we still have 2 1/2 party system, the odds on the tories winning the next election are similar to seeing Elvis dance on the Loch Ness Monsters nose! their only hope would be a party of fascist nasty people who deny demographic facts.

Weather is turning – it was June when temperatures last failed to reach 20c, and it might be only a short cold spell, I am old enough to remember wrapping up warm for November 5th celebrations around a bonfire – recently you could have got away without a coat! Things to eminence about – penny for the guy and scouts/cubs bob a job weeks.

DIPLOMATIC GAMES

Trump has tried to shore up his assertions that the Fairford 5 were ‘we knew everything about them adn would not hhave released them on bail’ by withdrawing a squadron of bombers from Fairford in panic, refuelling planes had to be scrambled to support them, stating that they had info on a threat from Iran. Bullshit – MAGA are losing support in US polls before the mid-terms and the war with Iran is unpopular, especially given rising inflation. He sowed the seeds of American patriotism and is now reaping the costs, Americans are not happy with thedeaths of their servicemen in a futile and illegal war, nor are they happy with the cost of fuel.

Meanwhile the Government seems set on a path of diplomatic war with Israel – the fascist government of that country has said it will close the British Consulate in East Jerusalem (a UN designated Palestian area; and in return our government has said it will expel one Israeli diplomat for every on e force to leave the Consulate. Israel seems to be losing a diplomatic battle in Europe. The Irish football team again refused to shake hands with the Israel team, and wore black arm bands in recognition of those who have died in Gaza. America will always be supportive, and in Europe Germany still reflects on its appalling genocide of the jews during WW2.

Elsewhere, Spains left wing government have called a snap general election over housing costs. France has riots (does anyone else riot like the French? over student claims of underfunding of education, albeit in a time of worrying French Government debt. In Brazil the right wing looks like it may defeat the present government.

Badenoch meanwhile has said she would develop a Britannia Sheild to protect the UK – for £10billion I guess she was just proposing to safeguard London. £10 billion is a lot, but did she think the Ukraine would not have raised this money to protect Kiev? Or was she thinking of an actual Iron Dome stretching for Dover to Carlisle, and have the added benefit of drowning asylum seekers.

And a maybe positive ending – there maybe no Atlantic hurricanes this year due to El Niño, what this means for the UK is unpredictable.

WEATHER PREDICTION

Looking at the Met. Office predictions it looks like a typical autumn here – bits of rain and sun, bit cloudy but warm – I seem to remember that Nov 5th was cold, wearing gloves to hold sparklers, and being warmed by the fire with a guy on top. Guy Fawkes, along with bob a job week seems to have disappeared from our cultural activities. I am digressing, but so what, other things that are disappearing ‘giving the bumps’ on ones birthday, a pinch and a punch for the first of the month? Friday the 13th – any more? Other superstitions include not walking under a ladder, not stepping on the edges of paving stones, magpies, not putting shoes on tables, and not cutting nails on a Sunday. I am sure I have missed some, but guess we all have little quirks – I always put right shoe and sock on first, and do not like adjacent light switches to be uncoordinated!

GREEN PARTY

I know that we should all commend statements that decry Israels genocide in Gaza and its murderous intentions elsewhere, but really who cares what the party members think? They have no power or even influence, people on the streets according to those out canvasing. However where the Green Party does have a huge influence is on environmental and climate change issues. Apart from the knuckle dragging flag shaggers most people, especially the young have a deep down fear of what we are doing to the planet. So forget international diplomacy and issues that you cannot influence and concentrate on the 2 issues, that if Burnham gets to introduce some form of PR, the Greens could take alead on. This does not mean ignoring all other issues – everything comes down to economics; Social issuess such as racism and misogyny are also core beliefs for members of the GP.

Burnham has also played a master card regarding the EU. Public opinion is behind rejoining – small boat crossings only started after Brexit The economic cost of leaving was, is and will be horrific, the fishing industry is decimated, farming and manufacturing in decline, immigration has fallen back under Labour from nearly a million per annum. And I think I may be a bit racist when I say that the decline of EU immigration was to the detriment of an integrated society. Europeans have a similar history and sociological make up rather than the influx of people from the far east – there I said it! A large influx of people from Europe would not have the same impact of people from elsewhere. This comment is definitely not about colour but integration into a multi-cultural society. It is also apparent that ex-pats in places like Spain have not fully integrated. I wonder if there should be a nationality test after a residence of say 10 years based on a shared history and common culture. I think I have already said too much!

Warnings of an AI economic bubble/crash are growing stronger.- tec giants have invested billions, but are suggesting putting the breaks on future developments. The thing is, can AI be monetised in a meaningful way? There are obvious benefits to using AI, but at the cost of unemployment? Books and films can be made using AI and I am told they are very good, but will they have the same nuance and moments as those captured from isolated experiences. Would AI have created the iconic Pink Floyd or would we all be listening to perfect trash music?

Badenoch goes for the grey vote by pledging to the triple lock. I am sure that I read that pensions had gone up by 23% more than the average wage – the pension issue was dire, but now it is the young who suffer.

Oh, and El Niño is not expected to fully hit for a couple of months – look out for horror weather related news stories in the media – or here!

DUH!

Its a no brainer , rejoin the EU or at least get much closer with regulations and laws. Only bogotted no brains would argue against it (latest survey says that means 28.5% of the population are thicker than shit!). Whether the EU would want us back is debatable, but a new Dublin Agreement would stop the bollocks from Farage!

The Greens should forget about Gaza – they are powerless and the public basically do not give a shit – let the Government do the hard graft on this. They should concentrate on the main threat to living standards and life as we know it, climate change.

Yesterdays post as my computer was being uncooperative –

What is Trump doing now?  Basically his illegal war has caused the cost of diesel to spiral and therefore inflation will follow.  So Trump is now panicking about the mid-term elections looming on his horizon, and the polls are not looking good for him.  It seems increasingly likely that he will not control Congress after the elections.  If there is a swing to the Democrats, it is quite possible that he will lose his present ability to act like a dictator, and possibly face criminal charges against himself and his family (he has been protected by sycophantic MAGA supporters in Congress).

Did you know that a Greenland Shark can live for 400 years.

ENVIRONMENT

This government has made a positive start to ensuring that the UK has an environment fit for the future with a pledge to plant at least 500000 trees. Trees can reduce temperatures in cities by up to 4C in summer, they also have a warming input in winter, a mature tree can intercept 15000 litres of rainfall whilst the roots enhance infiltation and thus reduce flooding. At least 150 different species of insects can live on oak trees thus being brilliant for wildlife. My road would have been wooded at one time, but now has only a half dozen trees, plus my two mulberry trees! I am sure back gardens have a few more but if every front lawn, that are unused biological deserts, had a tree of any variety, the road would be a feast of wildlife. So put away your lawn mower – which contributes to climate change and plant a tree (blossom, fruit or other). And hey farmers, supplement your income by allowing people to sponsor a tree in the more unproductive parts of your fields, do not wait for a govrnment grant but be proactive and get locals involved.

Wetter and windy is the prediction of the cheif meteorologist at the Met Office, 6 million homes are at risk from flooding and it is estimated that 2 million are unaware of it. Recent developments of houses and infrastructure may mean that areas that have not flooded before are now at risk. Antarctic sea ice has shrunk – the 4 lowest extent on record are the last 4 years. Sea ice does not in itself affect sea level, but it does have an impact on glaciers entering the sea, so if you live near the coast – be aware that coastal flooding may have little to do with rainfall, October and Merch are the real danger months although spring tides in any month can be a hazard. Glaciers melting in Switzerland are also causing concern regarding water supply, and another mountainous state is also suffering from landslips and potentially disasterous floods due to climate change -Nepal.

RAF FAIRFORD

So, despite Trump’s assertion that he had had the possible assailants ‘under view’ for a long time, it still took a local resident with a seeming 6th sense, in the early hours of the morning to be suspicious. She tried calling the base – who did not reply – and then dialled 999, the police arrived in 15 minutes (which would seem to be rather tardy in the circumstances?). It appears that no prior intelligence was involved and the police must be commended for a brilliant job. So Trump is talking out of his arse again!

Back home Burnham seems determined to grasp the elusive problem of care homes. This will definitely require a tax of some sort, but is a problem that has been hanging around for way too long. Philip for the Tories bangs on about a ‘death and dementia tax’ – he is determined that he gets his inheritance! and offers no alternative, which is no surprise – years of tory rule and talking about the problem resulted in ‘diddly squat’.

the long range weather forecast for the next month is for high pressure and lower than normal rainfall. I hope it is not a lull before the storm situation. A high court judgement has been passed allowing a housing development in an area identified by the Environment agency as being in a category of highest risk. I hope Persimmon Homes will cover the insurance claims for the new residents of Yatton. Basically, what is the point of the Environment Agency if their objections can be so easily overridden.

And well done the Republic of Ireland mens football team for making a point about the genocidal regime of Israel before winning 3-1. Football has a lot of politics going on at present – a multi-billion enterprise cannot hide behind glib phrases like ‘keep politics out of sport’. Russian athletes are currently banned from the Olympics but that is likely to change with pressure from the next hosts President – yes it is Trump! i agree that sport should occur as an honourable activity between opposing players/sides, but life is becoming ever more complicated. From expensive, advantage giving footwear and body suits in athletics, to financial chicanery in football, the situation is barely better than in the last century where Soviet ruled/influenced countries athletes dominated some athletic results with records that still stand. Sport will do well to maaintain its integrity over the next few years.