Category: Geography

Numbers soaring but it is ok says Johnson and the band of killers. he got it wrong last year and thousands died; let us all hope he has not got it wrong yet again. As ever I am confused by the stats. Deaths of people who had covid in the last 28 days is a figure often quoted as misleading. Does that include a person who died in a car crash 3 weeks ago? If this last statement is true then surely the death rate should be spiralling to record highs as perhaps as high as 1 in 10 people in London alone will have tested positive for Covid in the last 28 days?

The map of cases is showing the rest of the country following London – Bristol is unto 1424/100000 and North Somerset up to 863. Essex on 1605.

And the gutter press – which is most of it is championing Johnson – even Mel Gibson has made some trite and uneducated comment reflecting his past glory in Braveheart – jerk.

By definition, epidemiology is the study (scientific, systematic, and data-driven) of the distribution (frequency, pattern) and determinants (causes, risk factors) of health-related states and events (not just diseases) in specified populations (neighborhood, school, city, state, country, global).

The public has lost confidence in the government – a good friend told me she was changing her plans for Christmas (which included visiting her grandmother). Personally I hope she does not come to regret this, but totally understand her logic. People can go to a pub and the Government,ent has said office parties should not be cancelled. Mixed messages and dithering.

I would recommend people to look at the government statistical web site and perhaps make their own decisions. The figures are dated so one can see where they are lagging (e.g. the maps tend to be 5 days behind).

Data analysis time again – and still no wiser. I have had a look at the areas with numbers above 800/100000 and there is no apparent pattern. Double jab vaccination varies from 82.1 to 59.3. and single jab from 87.8 to 65.7. So vaccination rates on single/double jab) would appear to be of little relevance in the actual numbers (I do not have access to the detailed figures for hospitalisations and deaths).

Nicola Sturgeon makes a long broadcast without using ‘experts’ to hide in the way Johnson does. She is authoritative and sets out the issue clearly. What a contrast from the shambles of ignorance that pretends to be setting rules to control this pandemic.