P&O

DP World made $453 million profit last year. It has just sacked 800 employees by zoom and has coach loads of foreign crew waiting to replace them. Security guards are also poised to take occupying staff off the boats by force if necessary.

Easy answer – nationalise the company with no compensation. They say they are making a loss anyway. No one should treat its workers like this. We are living in the 21st century not the 18th (Sleaze-Dogg please note). BREXIT strikes again.

PROPERTY

Recent behaviour by the government and the police (arguably agents of the government) has shown very clearly that property is valued more than people.

ENERGY

Options –

Continue to buy on the open market and be subject to the fluctuations of the market.

Fracking – called for by Tory Climate Deniers must surely be dismissed as unsafe and impractical besides taking a long time to bring to fruition.

Nuclear – probably makes sense for a 20-30% role – but is horrifically expensive and the time to bring new stations on stream is probably decades.

Renewables – could be the quickest option – although those in the Chilterns will be choking on their smoked salmon if planning rules for land based wind farms goes ahead. Could they not be sited by pylons? Problem is storage although a combination of solar and wind should cover most weather eventualities.

Cutting demand is the quickest of all – insulation of all buildings where practical should be mandatory for all property owners (landlords note). Rolling out electric vehicles could be speeded up although imposing 50 or 60mph on all roads would be fast and practical. I am sure road haulage firms are looking at their distribution networks. Would use of freight trains be practical with computer booking.

UKRAINE

A Russian Official says boats taking weapons to the Ukraine will be legitimate targets. I am all for diplomacy and negotiation – but there comes a point where Putin understands that what we provide to a ‘free’ sovereign nation is none of his business. He needs to be aware that his navy will suddenly become a lot smaller if he tries it on. The millions fleeing his attempted genocide cannot be ignored. But read on for a counter argument.

It is estimated that losses to his invasion force are between 5-10% in terms of troops and equipment. His economy is being trashed. It is important not to escalate, but one also needs to stand up to tyrants and bullies. It is interesting that both sides are avoiding using their air forces as it seems that anti-aircraft systems have the upper hand. The Russians are bombing at night apparently.

I am sure military historians will be able to quote many situations where defending populations were left to their own devices (Was Warsaw in WW2 an example?).

Mean while the Russian Embassy is moving to 10 Downing Street, oligarchs are selling their houses in London with a score or more up for sale.

Of course all the above is based on my believing the narrative coming from the West. This narrative is not universally accepted – or 100% approved. Has NATO pushed too hard against the boundaries of Russia? I personally do not think so as past Russian atrocities in Chechnya, Syria and elsewhere show an intent by Putin to be the strongman! However it would be disingenuous to suggest that the USA and NATO have been without blame. The wars on Iraq and Libya, the acquiescence with the Saudi led war on Yemen all need critical evaluation.

COVID

I have not posted on this for a while. However there are some concerning statistics coming out. Locally in N.Somerset positive cases are up 72.5%, patients admitted up 37.4%, but deaths down 33% to 2. So how does one analyse this? I suppose I do not know the criteria for stating hospital admissions are up? Nationally there has been an increase in over 60’s developing the virus and a 4th injection is proposed for me!

I know there is other stuff going on – but maybe we should not turn a blind eye?

GLOBALISATION

There have been many benefits from globalisation. My world is very different and mainly better than the world I was born into. This is also true across the world with the % living in poverty way below that of 50 years ago. However with benefits have come detriments. The lack of regulation that benefits trade has also meant the development of economies based on unicorns and fairies.

GEOGRAPHY

Looking at a map of the world one is taken by the sheer size of Russia, and add in friendly countries like the ‘stan’s’ it is even larger. However it is also noticeable that its coastal boundaries are away from most trade routes. With Turkey having closed the Bosphorus to the Russian Navy and the Skagerrak being controlled by EU countries Russia will be increasingly dependant on Arctic waters and the North Pacific – both remote from the centres of population and industry.

PUTIN

The long game. Putin almost certainly has the ability and fire power to achieve at least a partial victory in military terms. Whether he can allocate enough troops to maintain any victories is doubtful. So annexation of Eastern Provinces is likely. The capture and murder of the Ukrainian President would probably be counterproductive in the long run.