Author: Richard

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VANCE

JDVance says that school shootings are a fact of life (or DEATH)? The American election gets weirder by the second. Vance claims that school deaths from shootings are basically inevitable! Unfortunately he may be correct – American society is so fucked up that it has more weapons in the publics hands than there are people! It is obviously too late to withdraw these weapons – but not too late to make their ownership a matter of pride or necessity! I have been to the states a couple of times, and been out in downtown Chicago – but never felt I needed a gun! Is it a small cock syndrome?

So the Harris – Trump debate is around midnight in the UK on Tues/Weds. The Guardian suggested that Harris would ridicule Trump – an easy option, and he is likely to lose the plot! However she needs to do more than that – Trump is vulnerable on international issues, and his economic pronouncements, let alone his verbage about democracy and even his confusion about abortion. Being an advisor to either side must be horrific at the moment!

Personally I would advise Harris to keep it simple! The more she talks about his age, the more of a total fool he looks. However I have absolutely no comprehension of how the American people are so indoctrinated! True red Republicans I can comprehend. The fanatics who attend his rallies are …. fuck….. . How could anyone support an arrogant rich fucker, also accused of rape, fraud, with a criminal conviction, American society is even more fucked than ours!

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TARRIFFS

So Trump is planing for a regime of increased tariffs on imports. He might think he is clever but most do not! A tarriff will rapidly develop between USA and China and probably the EU. LEDC’s will probably be stuffed too!

The USA can produce enough food and products to withstand isolation. However any tarriffs are bound to be reciprocal. Regarding products China would probably be a beneficiary of countries looking to trade with a trriff free partner. Economies also react relatively quickly when needs must – the Russian invasion of Ukraine showed that disruption of even products like oil can be coped with. So economically I believe it would be an act of massive self harm – like Brexit was for the UK.

Politically it could cause the checks and balances that sustain a relatively free world to crumble. If China gets a boost economically it may feel less constrained in its efforts to exert its presence in the Pacific region.. Trump has hinted at less support for NATO – which will possibly embolden an domestically less secure Putin to take further action in Europe (personally I doubt this, but never say never!). Americas support for Israel (along with Starmers) amazes me. The Jews have a huge influence that makes conspiracy theories vaguely relevant? The death of an American woman by the IDF may cause a glimmer of regret in America but will soon be forgotten.

I am also aware that the American prescence in other parts of the world is dominant to the maintainece of the status quo (for good or bad!). And whilst ambilivent on the issue – would Herbozlah and Hamas be restrained if US aircraft carriers were not in the vicinity. But also does American hegmony allow the destruction of settlements in the West Bank? Israels continued destruction and genocide in Gaza is setting the area up for a traumatic finale? Already Iran is a treat with a religious theocracy, Israel is surrounded by very rich Muslim states and that America may not always be its protector?

I am also sure that the main losers with Trumps Tarriffs would be LEDCs. He is just a very rich K. Starvation of poor people does not concern him. So I expect greater alliance between him and tec giants like Musk. However whilst social media is world wide via the web, the contacts of most are local. This means a competitor can be created and thrive in the face of opposition from twitter, Facebook, instagram, etc. TBH – if I post on twitter I am more than happy for my posts to be read in the UK and nowhere else! I would guess that most teenagers are hoping to reach others nearby. So the USA hegmony on social media may well crumble? TikTok has become a norm. But I suspect there is room for more local artisan products!

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TAX AVOIDANCE

The Times leads today on rich people leaving the country due to the Governments possible tax strategy. Unsurprisingly the emphasis is not on the lack of patriotism or tax avoidance. They also failed to mention that the governments latest auction for bonds was over 10 times oversubscribed – this is a reflection of foreign investors confidence in the British economy and how it is run! Lack of balance here and yet another pathetic example of the decline in British Journalism. They would rather concentrate on a few rich selfish twats than the need to get the NHS working properly, the dire housing situation and our polluted waterways, etc.

I am waiting for the government announcing savings on the use of consultants – last years cost was severaal £billion! I am willing to give the government time to sort things out – but the announcement about imprisoning water chiefs seemed a bit like a typical economy flush!

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PATEL

Wow – she must be gutted to come last in a medley of deadbeats! And corrupt Jenrick in front (he of cruelty to children is a virtue!). But who gives a fuck anyway!

Grenfell Inquiry cost £200 million and now must be repeated in the courts as the evidence is not admissible in court! This could be swiftly changed by an Act of Parliament so that the evidence is accepted with the proviso that accused parties could enter appeals to the findings of the report.

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BREXIT

The elephant in the room, people claim failure or “too early to say” regarding its success/failure.

So I thought I would try and do an analysis of the reasons people voted for it.

Firstly migration – driven by latent racism. The small boats basically started with Brexit and migration has reached record highs. So for those who voted for Brexit for that reason – total abject failure.

Secondly, take back control of our borders – again a total failure as above.

Thirdly, take back control. This was always an interesting one! Did the EU really dictate policy to the UK. From what I have seen, it appears that the UK had amasive impact on all EU legislation. I accept that there may be a democratic element regarding the ability to contact ones own MP. However MP’s like Dorries, Johnson and Farage have blown that one away. The return of control was seized on with ridiculous zeal by Tory ministers to pursue their own agendas. We live in an economically globalised world – as Labour are finding with Thames Water. Take back control is no longer easy, not even with a drastically failing privatised company.

Everything else seems to be negative – Erasmus, student exchanges, trade, science, status.

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THE SMALL BOATS CRISIS

Having been a long standing debacle for the last Government it is time for this government to act.

Firstly though we need to consider why so many are willing to risk their lives to come here. Most are not from former outposts of our tarnished empire. Latest reports seem to suggest that our lax security for jobs could be an attraction. Is it time to introduce identity cards? Most of Europe has them, no card, no job? There also needs to be a legal way for legitimate claimants of asylum to do so.

Both actions will be greeted with horror by the right wing, but both seem sensible to me. An ID card could have NHS, Nat.Ins. details, DVLA data. There would need to be strict rules to avoid fraud – but they manage in other countries? Identity theft is a major problem so maybe an element of fingerprint or facial recognion is necessary. I am sure there are many other arguments for and against – time we had them!

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WEATHER AND STATISTICS

A quiery – what does a prediction of 20% rainfall actually mean? 20% of what. My belief is that they should stick to very likely, likely, possible, unlikely. Then they could add a percentage to which they believe the prediction to be likely. E.g. We are 50% sure that rain is likely could then be interpreted as – we have not got a fucking clue so take a brolly! Things like thunderstorms would need clarification – a 20% chance would mean a 1 in 5 chance – that is meteorology, thunderstorms are limited in both location and duration.

But I revert to – what the fuck does does 40% likelyhood mean – possible or just – we have no fucking clue!

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NEWS

Well the news is dominated by Israel, Germany, Brazil.

The Labour Government has at last/least shown some bals in banning arms exports to Israel in the face of U.S. opposition. Well done.

Germany has had state lections in the former East Germany swing to the right. No real surprise there – especially as the German economy is tanking a bit!

Brazil has banned Twitter! Well done but reports of rainforest clearances and murder of indigenous rights workers are of concern.

Meanwhile at home – the race to elect the leader of a party and lead it to oblivion continues. I would say hotting up, but as they are all guilty as charged, as was revealed at the last election there is nothing to report! The candidates firstly have to appeal to the remaining Conservative M.P.s which is difficult. The following table is interesting

May 2023 PCPN = 3581SurvivedN = 951
Northern Research Group39 (11%)5 (5.3%)
Blue Collar Conservatism155 (43%)33 (35%)
Onward Levelling Up Taskforce37 (10%)11 (12%)
IEA Free Market Forum58 (16%)11 (12%)
Conservatives for Canzuk30 (8.4%)6 (6.3%)
European Research Group107 (30%)24 (25%)
Common Sense Group30 (8.4%)8 (8.4%)
Conservative Environment Network102 (28%)26 (27%)
Bright Blue139 (39%)37 (39%)
Tory Reform Group13 (3.6%)6 (6.3%)
0.7% Aid rebels22 (6.1%)10 (11%)
Estimated economic left-right position(min, max)76.2(60.0, 94.0)76.4(64.0, 92.0)
Unknown50
8

80% of MP’s are also guilty by association with the last lot of charlatons. The MP’sidentifying by being members of the above groups has diminished. Despite 83 ERG group members having lost their seats the candidates all seem to pander to the tunes of the ERG and other right wing nutters! There is a reason, they are taking a calculated risk that they will get through the MP’s vote and then be elected by the facist and racist party membership. This may seem rather harsh but the reality is that this is what they are deep down. They will pretend to be patriots and respect others, but they wish for a return to the past with a white, nominally Christian society where patriarchy rules.

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SUNDAY WAFFLE

Double standards – I am very sad at the deaths of 6 hostages held by Hamas. However the outpouring of grief from around the world upto, and including, the POTAS id disproportionate. 40000 Palestinians have died, perhaps at least 25% children and the world remains, if not silent, but only mumbling. Every life should be reveered and its loss mourned.

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SMOKING et al.

Interesting proposal by the Government has got the usual suspects getting their knickers in a twist and throwing teir toys out of the pram! I am not sure what I think! I was a smoker for 50 years and gave up totally 4 years ago. Is it a personal freedom issue when the smoke impinges on the enjoyment of others? The4 ban in inside areas was excellent and only diehards complained with conviction (A former Minister fro Health amongst them!). Maybe pubs and venues should be able to, and encouraged to, offer smoke free areas/times. I would certainly back the banning of smoking within an area open to, and used by children. Pub gardens could be smoke free until 9pm? Some pubs could decide to be totally smoke free, others could ban children!. This would appease the freedom of personal choice (and fuck the rest of you) cohort. But then there are still morons who complain about using seat belts – but they are not the ones scraping remains of humans from the bonnet!

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