Will Russia win the war? It has taken a long while so far without huge progress. They can probably defeat the Ukraine Army, but that is different to being able to control and run the country. Even in the South-East it seems that resistance is much higher than they expected – or the soldiers were led to believe.
As with all conflicts the truth is hard to isolate. However the plight of the citizens of Ukraine is unequivocal – suffering is endemic. There is however no easy way to stop Putin and his machine. The body bags being returned to Russia may have a domestic impact – but unlikely as the country is rules by the old KGB and its philosophy.
Meanwhile the UK Government continues to simplify visa rules – if you need to fill in an application you fail. Did Gove really get confused between 3.000 and 300.000? Is Priti Nasty really so callous, is Truss so stupid, is Johnson a Russian agent? Should Farage be arrested as an agent provocateur.