As he flies out to meet with the Bully Keir has a stark choice. He either sucks up to him and alienates pro-Europe groups and possibly pro-Ukrainian groups or; he tells him that he will not be bullied, that the USA, as the richest nation on Earth has responsibilities that extend beyond renaming areas like The Gulf of Mexico and risks alienating the right wing press and Brexiteers who still yearn after a trade deal with the USA (whatever the cost!).
We may not have the power and even respect of the rest of the world after Truss and Johnson trashed us, but enough remains for Keir to stand tall, tell Trump to man up and stop playing silly power games with his techie pals. Has Ukraine done a mineral deal with Trump? Regretable but probably a sensible way to get America to keep Putin out!
Putin has little to gain or play with here! He wants Trump to stop supporting Ukraine, has dodgy support at home (although if push comes to shove it will solidify), and knows that even without American support he will have problems taking Ukraine IF the EU and and UK are supportive of Zelenskii. I am not sure he has recovered from the fact that Kiev did not just cave in when invaded. Funding by Moscow of RW groups has only been moderately successful with support less than 30% in the west of Europe. And this is based on racist migration policies rather than economic values. Putins economic wealth is based on raw materials and oil/gas. These can be sold to the east as well as west – but the west is decarbonising despite the pro-carbon body and mis-information. Militarily the loses faced by Russian troops have been serious (as are the Ukrainian ones) – but if NATO is willing to put troops on the ground (or even European ones the table would become weighted towards the Ukrainians.
I guess Putin will settle for Donesk and regions taken, with a return of the area taken by Ukraine. EU/NATO troops with USA ones if Trump gets mineral deal. And then peace and Trump will have achieved one goal. This is not to be decried – ask the Ukrainians who lose family membars and property to Russian strikes on a daily/weekly basis. Is Crimea a happy place – I have no idea!
So Trump may get a peace deal, but the likelyhood of one in Gaza is very remote. Firstly because he made the mistake of totally siding with Israel (Russia did not comply it appears); Secondly the rest of the world is appalled at his suggestion (even with AI images); Thirdly I doubt it makes economic sense is mainly for pro-zionist propaganda purposes.