COVID _ ATTEMPTED ANALYSIS

So I keep trying to interpret the stats, and reconcile with government policy (if there is such a thing).

Cornwall and Isle of Wight can be relatively easily explained – peripheral areas with little public transport. Also lacking major urban areas. It would be fascinating to see how cases are spread across Cornwall. Camborne, Redruth and Truro I would expect to be the major areas of concern. I guess most people in villages use the local pubs, etc. so np great spreading. Why no surge following the holiday season – possibly due to white middle class , middle aged tourists? And I would guess less touring than in the past and the weather was good, so not days inside. I AM SO WRONG HERE! Liskeard was the only place with anything of note!

North Somerset and Bristol. Interesting. The figures went up rapidly to 243 and 428 respectively, then with tier 3 fell steadily until about 115 when they start to creep up again. Can this be interpreted? It would seem that tier 3 works to a point. But then it levels off at an unacceptably high level. S it seems that about 60% is due to measures that are brought in for tier 3. But there seems to be an underlying spread, could this be due to schools and universities? I am sure they are responsible for a %, but as this has little impact in Cornwall it needs more evidence. I suppose that children in Cornwall are less likely to come into contact with someone with Covid. Then there is the shopping, people doing jobs with contact, public transport, etc. All confusing.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *