However I was intrigued by the fact that there are only 7 areas in Cornwall with more than 2 cases (in areas which approximate to 10000). Those 7 areas had a total of 30 reported cases in the week to 10 March. That left 55 cases also reported to be spread across the remaining 49 areas (assuming there are 56 for 560000 total population). Any difference are insignificant.
So probability is that 33% of areas have either zero, one or two cases in the last week. The significance of this would seem to be that Covid is lurking still in most areas of even Cornwall. Other assumptions would be that; asymptomatic people probably do not get tested so actual numbers are possibly higher; most of the over 60’s have been vaccinated; numbers of positives are likely to be concentrated in the age groups that are needing to socialise or having, via work, to socialise.
All this means that there should be no great relaxation of restrictions yet, even if the figures suggest so. With a blip in vaccine supply I would guess that ‘keep local’ should remain until we near or pass the ‘herd immunity’ level, which I think is about 80%?
If I was a hotel owner with bar/dining room I would want residents to have a ‘covid passport’ or other evidence of immunity (previous infection). I guess camp sites would be ok, but shops, bars, nearby?