Category: Geography

Chile has the 3rd highest % of vaccination in the world after Israel and the UAE but has had to impose a strict lockdown after a new surge in cases.

Talking with my learned friend Andy he suggested that the infection rate was no longer relevant as hospital cases and deaths had fallen dramatically. So I need to think a minute!

Statistically snow is more likely at Easter than Christmas!

Stats for the week to the 8th March are on next page. If this was a board game it would be fantastic! Unfortunately peopler still dying so that would be a bit sick.

	27.09	5.11	19.11	5.12	2.1	7.1	21.1	28	4.2	15.2	22.2	14.3
N.Som	31	177	304	142	256	372	368	239	173	138	81	39
Cornw	20	47	90	25	173	324	258	176	157	81	42	12
Bristol	46	350	480	168	217	408	434	306	258	176	123	50
Chelms	41	91	150	109	878	1058	573	328	247	141	75	35
Exeter	283	128	168	102	147	226	244	126	61	37	73	22
Braintr	42	58	109	104	910	1160	552	406	303	154	81	47
Ply	30	150	225	63	219	221	327	208	118	63	49	32
IoW	10	41	78	29	253	916	647	382	226	122	50	14
Liverp	516	330	276	97	242	611	809	516	348	262	170	52
Manch		466	372	175	208	351	443	329	297	225	187	84
Sunderl	274	309	412	161	267	514	426	326	327	270	186	73
Newca	445	284	449	156	147	235	284	226	174	132	114	71
Swans		397	231	368	400	431	202	114	87	67	61	31
Cardiff		301	156	247	460	470	282	168	122	93	104	38
Glasgo		286	275	147	194	318	325	258	207	158	130	115
Aberde		41	58	61	171	279	236	148	80	50	30	36
Belfast		317	213	109	225	504	284	229	175	143	115	82
Newry		199	118	113	256	756	447	306	210	145	80	46
Sandf					201	320	189	226	248	71	59	0
W.Bod					62	287	437	387	337	262	137	100
Lostwit					190	308	381	349	417	63	81	0

Some observations. Firstly West Bodmin is 8 cases, so not as bad as it looks. Also looking at the government map of small areas, only 5 places in Cornwall are shown on the map (less than 3 cases) BUT the total number is 68 cases in last week. The inference here is that the virus lurks in almost all places. To some extent this correlates with what seems to be a levelling off in the fall of positive tests. Whilst from a much smaller base the r number seems to be around about the 1 mark. How can this be interpreted? The stats are before the schools fully reopened (that will be interesting and hopefully positive). People with the virus must be passing it on, hopefully they are asymptomatic and not just evil. Now is surely the time for test and trace to start working properly. For instance if there are 8 people who have tested positive in Congresbury and Kewstoke, that is just 8 people to ensure contact is made immediately and all contacts of these people also contacted.

In the south-west I would say we are in a position to virtually eradicate Covid, but then we have tourism which is essential to the economy. Some difficult personal liberty issues need to be made, and fast. Should vac passports be mandatory, could under-30 camp sites be established?

There is light at the end of this shitty year, but a way to go yet. Has Johnson the balls to see it through?

Looking good