MIGRATION

I just went to buy strawberries for jam making. Talking to the farmer he told me that he had sent his labour requirements to the agency as usual, but then the government shut the agency down. Having spent £££’s on plants he is unsure how the produce will be picked. No alternative has been offered.

Basically it comes down to the governments policy of halting immigration despite the shortage of workers. Apparently there are no English Turnips on the market this year. All this whilst the government is paying for a huge barge to house male migrants at great expense and prevent them form working. All because being anti-migrant is seen as a vote winner (not sure about that – local election results did not look good for the government – which also brings into doubt Bravermans plea to send through the illegal Illegal ‘Immigrants Bill’ as being the will of the people).

TOMATOES

6 potted up and 2 to go when they.get bigger. I might put another 4 in? Chillies looking good. Just planted out 2 rosemary in front of the ailing sage! I might get some more rosemary for along the road – smells good and looks good. I am waiting to see if lemon verbena survived. Left hand bed is – wait and see what comes up! Last year evening primrose and chickory were nice – I will keep the comfrey under control, and the garden mint night have seen off the oregano. I have marigolds to put out – in trays I think, and greek basil and ordinary to bring up to the kitchen window for the summer. Maybe a tray of dill in the greenhouse too?

I think I will plant some parsley and some nasturtium seeds and see what happens.

TRUMP

Found guilty of sexual abuse, fined $5 million and of course he denies it. Well he would because he has already boasted about grabbing a ladies fanny (I think that was the word housed). Like Johnson he does not think he lives in a world where laws apply to him. No doubt many Republicans will support his lies as he is well funded by the looney right wing, but surely his place in running for president is over? For the Republicans the problem is who to replace him with as he has slagged off most of his main contenders like DiSantis.

EL NINO

The science is not strong but it looks like El Nino will form. later this year and thus cause extreme weather events next year. Already we have seen drought in the Mediterranean area and record temperatures in Vietnam this week. These events have global impacts in a globalised world. Sensible governments would be prioritising local food production.

Related topic – Turkmenistan has methane emissions that impact on global warming greater than the whole of the UK (17th in the world rankings). these come from gas fields that are used to export the gas to China. More globalisation negative side effects. What is needed is the development of sustainable growth strategies rather than the growth at all costs strategy beloved by both left and right.

POLICE

With the coronation arrests the police seem to have hit a new low. A journalist arrested for filming soeone holding a stop oil banner. We know the police are institutionally racist and misogynistic, they have now shown themselves to be anti-democratic and a tool of the establishment. No wonder they do not catch criminals nowadays! Presumably the orders came from above? The Home Secretary of the Mayor of London. I know who i suspect!

In my local shop the manager was asked if the police could review his CCTV as there had been a break in recently, he asked why they were following up on this when they did nothing when his shop was broken into – the reply was basically that they have had bad publicity recently and need to look. like they are doing something! They issued 95093 speeding tickets in 2022 – How many were actually speeding, as opposed to exceeding the speed limit (by this I mean doing 40mph on a straight road at 3am with no traffic around in a 30mph area – do they get bored avoiding proper policing?

Did they arrest anyone for littering? I suspect not, but it is an offence?

ELECTION THOUGHTS

It would seem that the anti-tory vote is coalescing into unofficial compacts. This is not good news for either of the 2 main parties. It does mean that the resurgance of the LDems may put then back into a strong place in Parliament. Scotland did not vote but I wonder of Labour will regain its position there? The SNP are reorganising and a fresh approach may well see them do better than some are predicting. In Wales it is likely that Labour will regain some of the areas it lost, Plaid Cymru do not seem to be catching the imagination of the Welsh.

ELECTION ANALYSIS BY ME

The basics are: a disaster for the Cons; good for Lab; very good for LDems and Greens.

But how does this equate to a General Election? And how will it affect the Government?

The GE is still presumably a year or more away. Projections suggest that Labour will not get a clear majority so Starmer has work to do. His attempts to appease the centre ground of the public do not seem to be working in the “blue” areas – Lib Dem and Greens may be able to consoldidate a local election triumph and gain seats here. Whilst there is some progress in the “Red wall” seats, it was not great, there is a great deal of fudge arouhnd Starmer (what exactly is his stance on Europe, on tuition fees, on migration, etc.). The time has come for Labour to set out their agenda (and LibD and Green). I suspect the Greens will take many of the ideological left which he purged and which leaves him with a problem – how to get them back! Local votes do not equate perfectly into GE results with. many reverting to their traditional vote when the media get to work! However we should see the Tories lose power, albeit to a coalition. Coalitions may become a thing of the future as factions of both the left and right polarise. Would the greens and LibDems enter into a coalition without PR? I guess that depends on the relative strength of the parties. Would it need a referendum? Could it be roled out piecemeal i.e. If Scotland or the South-West voted for it they could have it?

ELECTION RESULTS

Just gone 8am and 62 council results in, out of 230. First impression is that it is a bad result for the Tories. Labour are probably privately disappointed whilst the LibDems and Greens will be happy – although they always seem to do better in local elections. The Green Party is building an influence but until they are winning councils they stand little hope of a breakthrough in a GE.

3pm and nearly half results are declared. Labour up 222, Tories down 374, LD up 91 and Greens up 87. Very good results for last 2 – very bad for Tories and only good, not very good for Labour.

North Somerset results will be out later. North Somerset results = hung council with I think C-13, Lab-10, Ind 11, LibD 9, Green 7. My to councillors are now Green. Turnout was 32.5% which I assume is low?

I suppise the statistic of the share of the votes will be interesting as there is little evidence of tactical voting at this level.

Lessons to be learnt. Conservatives – things have to change to win back the middle ground. Their policies are too right wing for many – maybe they need to stop fearing the Reform Party (UKIP). Labour needs to get its policies out and aired widely to win voters, and stop fearing the tory right. LibDems are making headway but like Labour are basically an unknown quality so far. The Greens policies – I have no idea if they have them or not! They also need to capitalise on the huge environmental problems facing us all. Turnout is thjought to be lowish but not markedly down to be able to say that the voter ID had a major impact.

The RWPress will be able to bury the results in the Coronation farce.

Councils have had their budgets cut so have little room for manoeuvre even if a new party takes over. And do people actually care – only the Green Party put leaflets through the door (2) and the rest nothing. So what were people voting for? Democracy is only effective with participation by the majority.

POLICING THE CORONATION

11500 police and hundreds of soldiers in fancy dress to ensure no legal protests on Saturday. Policing will be robust and tolerance low. Do we live in a democracy? All this so. some privileged nonce can put a silly hat on, have magic oil placed on him – the whole thing is ridiculous.

Why do so many soldiers have the silly hats and red tunics? And why do so many ignoramious idiots give such time to it?

VOTING

Well I voted – ID shown but I got the impression that they did not know what they were doing! No doubt the Tories will be looking to America to find new ways to disenfranchise people less likely to vote for them, no expense spared. There were 3 people at the poll this morning instead of the usual 2, it also took longer. driving licence photos are notoriously bad and mine was 13 years old. It will be interesting to see if the turnout is substantially down. Voter confidence is politicans is very low anyway due to the slease and corruption and general uselessness of the Government and perceptions of Starmer are not much better.